The 2022 Philippine Election: How Bongbong Marcos Went From 14% to a Landslide

In November 2020, the frontrunner for the 2022 Philippine presidency was Sara Duterte — who never ran. Bongbong Marcos was polling 14 percent. Eighteen months later he won the biggest presidential mandate since 1986. This chart race tracks every published Pulse Asia preference survey from November 2020 to the final round of April 2022, with the events that moved the numbers. WHAT TO WATCH FOR • Sara Duterte tops four straight surveys while insisting she is not running. Her bar greys out at filing week in October 2021, when she filed for Davao mayor instead — then substituted into the vice presidential race in November. • Grace Poe's bar greys out at the same moment. She filed for the Senate. • Marcos jumps from 15 to 53 between September and December 2021 — the survey gap that contains candidacy filing, the substitution deadline, and the UniTeam alliance. • Rodrigo Duterte publicly attacks Marcos as a "weak leader" and hints at cocaine use, then refuses to endorse anyone: "Neutral ako." • Robredo's crowds grow through the campaign — 137,000 in Pasig, 220,000 in Pampanga — while the polling gap barely moves. Final Pulse Asia survey (April 16-21, 2022): Marcos 56, Robredo 23. Result on May 9: Marcos 58.77 percent, Robredo 27.94. Turnout 83 percent. DATA SOURCE Bars are Pulse Asia presidential preference surveys, 9 published rounds from a November 2020 through April 2022, taken from Pulse Asia releases. The chart interpolates between published survey points, which is why the subtitle notes "anchor points, interpolated." No figure's are estimated. Event dates are verified against contemporaneous reporting; crowd figures are attributed to whoever estimated them, since organizer and police counts differed sharply. Music: "Heaven and Hell" by Jeremy Blake (YouTube Audio Library) #Philippines #Halalan2022 #Marcos #Robredo #PulseAsia #Politics #DataVisualization